These new odds use Vegas lines for various phases of the tournament to create one unified projection.
Memphis gets a monstrous downgrade. The old rankings were clearly overrating Memphis and that error compounded round-by-round. These new numbers look much more reasonable. The West is still a near coin-flip between the Tigers and Huskies. Everyone's least favorite team, the Missouri Tigers, get a modest downgrade in this version. They are now given an 86.9% chance of continuing their 0-for-forever streak on advancing to the Final 4.
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Memphis clearly overated??? You know better than Kenpom?? The only thing clear is that you hav not watched Memphis play.
ReplyDeleteBBjunkie, I'm probably one of the bigger Memphis defenders out there (not counting Memphis fans themselves).
ReplyDeleteThey look really really good, but they are not nearly as dominant as KenPom is making them out to be. They'd be, at best, a pick'em against UNC or UConn. KenPom has them winning those match-ups about 65% of the time.