These new odds use Vegas lines for various phases of the tournament to create one unified projection.
Pitt and 'Nova are the big winners in the update. Vegas has been high on Pitt all year long, so it's no surprise they get a bump up here (plus all that share Memphis lost had to go somewhere). 'Nova is surely getting a boost due to opening up the tournament at the Wachovia Center which the old rankings were, of course, not "aware" of.
I actually think UCLA is being underrated here. Getting through Villanova is no small task but this is an experienced and talented team that could really cause some trouble.
Posts
Pitt had the same # of losses as the other #1s and a tougher schedule. How are they not the best team?
ReplyDeletePanthers, lots of factors would go into that analysis, but my guess is the biggest one is margin of victory.
ReplyDeleteIf you give me two teams with similar records and similar strength of schedule ratings I want to bet on the team with the higher avg margin of victory every single time.
Ignoring margin of victory is how teams like Oklahoma end up with a 2 seed.