These new odds use Vegas lines for various phases of the tournament to create one unified projection.
No surprise here as the Tarheels more than double their odds of a title. The oddsmakers are obviously well-aware that this team has a lot in common with a great team from last season. While they haven't performed that far ahead of anyone this season, you have to think their ceiling is higher than the other competitors.
OU gets a big bump which, in my opinion, they don't deserve. Oklahoma is a great example of a team that gets overrated due to winning a lot of close games. The few games they did lose are being unfairly excused due to Blake Griffin's absence. They are just not that good this year.
Finally, Gonzaga receives a much-needed downgrade, but still shows a fighting chance of breaking into the Final 4.
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On further review those Illinois numbers are just a tad bit low, but not by as much as you might think.
ReplyDeleteI'd say they're more like 2.5% to make the Final 4 rather than the stated 2%. And maybe 0.3% instead of 0.1% to win it all. :)
lol Illini are terrible, those numbers look just right.
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